Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked June 21, 2021

Created

Thu May 27 11:26:56 +0000 2021

Likes

2,337

Retweets

300

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe a lazy heuristic. But TBH, when the evidence is murky and there are plenty of experts lining up on both sides, but one side is excessively concerned with policing the discourse (see e.g. the tweet I cited), I tend to think that side is more likely than not to be wrong. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 27, 2021

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

OK let's get this on record. What percentage chance would you assign to a lab leak? Because there are a lot of credible people I'm reading from and talking to that consider it reasonably likely (at least 50%). — PolitiTweet.org

This is a bizarre take. The evidence has stayed precisely the same - natural origin very likely, lab leak thus far… https://t.co/XEGG2Xkt5s

Posted May 27, 2021

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Sure you can. In fact, people unavoidably do it all the time. It may not be a particularly robust estimate. But this is the whole basis of Bayesian thinking. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 27, 2021