Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 19, 2021

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Tue May 25 12:16:22 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But IDK ^^^ that's liable to be a pretty unreliable heuristic (trying to triangulate private beliefs from carefully-worded public statements). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Basically what I want to know is: what would experts say if you gave them truth serum? Given that many experts are now publicly entertaining the possibility of a lab leak when that would be a somewhat inconvenient conclusion, I assume their private belief might be higher. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, the claim that ranked choice voting is the reason that (some) pollsters are sitting out the NYC race strikes me as total bullshit, more or less. Rather, it's likely a fairly hard race to poll and they're afraid of being wrong. But that has very little to do with RCV. — PolitiTweet.org

"RCV is too hard" is the reason the three major pollsters sat out the NYC mayoral race, as well as "turnout might b… https://t.co/pJ1mgSPGmR

Posted May 25, 2021