Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked May 23, 2021

Created

Tue May 04 20:43:03 +0000 2021

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter for Android

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred I think David makes a smart point and undoubtedly the calculation is different if you have kids, etc. At the same time, I don't know that people intuitively grasp just how large say a 20x reduction in risk is and may treat it as though it's a 2x reduction or something instead. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2021

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred I think my point is more subtle. Whatever someone's risk tolerance, having a 20-fold reduction in getting symptomatic COVID and (uncertain but let's say) a 5- to 10-fold decrease in transmitting COVID ought to meaningfully change their behavior relative to their pre-vax baseline. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2021

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred I think David makes a smart point and undoubtedly the calculation is different if you have kids, etc. At the same time, I don't know that people intuitively grasp just how large e.g. a 20-fold reduction and they may treat it as far more of an incremental step than it actually is. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2021