Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2021

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Tue May 04 19:18:05 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred I think my point is more subtle. Whatever someone's risk tolerance, having a 20-fold reduction in getting symptomatic COVID and (uncertain but let's say) a 5- to 10-fold decrease in transmitting COVID ought to meaningfully change their behavior relative to their pre-vax baseline. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred If you're much less likely to transmit post-vax I'd think that should change your behavior even around unvaccinated or mixed crowds. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred I think David makes a smart point and undoubtedly the calculation is different if you have kids, etc. At the same time, I don't know that people intuitively grasp just how large say a 20x reduction in risk is and may treat it as though it's a 2x reduction or something instead. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2021