Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 16, 2021

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Wed Mar 31 17:44:29 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But I wonder if people are underestimating the lags. It takes ~2 weeks from your 1st shot to have much protection at all & 5-6 wks to count as "fully vaccinated" with a 2-dose vaccine. Plus there are reporting lags. A "new" case today may actually have been acquired 1-2 wks ago. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 31, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

On the one hand, the case for optimism is sort of obvious. At some point, barring immune-escape variants, it seems likely we'll hit a threshold where rising levels of vaccination/immunity simply wins out over other factors, as in Israel right now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 31, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, vaccine coverage may be patchy. We're starting to see evidence of vaccine hesitancy in red, rural areas. Poorer communities, especially poor Black and Hispanic communities, have lagged behind in access. Children can't get vaccinated yet. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 31, 2021