Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 16, 2021

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Wed Mar 31 17:44:28 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So here's how this came out. I have no idea about the "right" answer—I'd probably have chosen the popular 41K-65K bucket if forced to pick—but I'm glad there are sizable numbers in all 4 buckets because I don't trust highly confident predictions about COVID trajectories. — PolitiTweet.org

The 7-day average COVID-19 case count is currently ~65K (per Worldometers) in the US. What will it be on May 15?

Posted March 31, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

When this takes effect, marijuana will be legal in 12 of the 16 states that Biden won by double digits + DC. Exceptions: Maryland, Delaware, Virginia, New Mexico. — PolitiTweet.org

#BREAKING: I just signed legislation legalizing adult-use cannabis. The bill creates automatic expungement of prev… https://t.co/sqafXw0bG5

Posted March 31, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

On the one hand, the case for optimism is sort of obvious. At some point, barring immune-escape variants, it seems likely we'll hit a threshold where rising levels of vaccination/immunity simply wins out over other factors, as in Israel right now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 31, 2021