Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 13, 2021

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Fri Mar 26 23:02:05 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias @kdrum I'd take the under. SARS and MERS weren't nearly as severe, there's some mathematical evidence to suggest we were "unlucky" that COVID didn't stay more contained, there'll be a lot more investment in early detection, and maybe vaccines provide some cross-immunity? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 26, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I kind of assume "returning to normal" is going to be easier than most adults think it will be, but harder for kids. If you're 40, then one year of doing things differently is competing with dozens of years of experience with the "old" normal. If you're 7, a year is an eternity. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 26, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias @kdrum I mean the naive prior is that it was a 1-in-100 year pandemic so the chance of one over the next 10 years is ~10%. That seems reasonable I guess. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 26, 2021