Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 13, 2021

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Thu Mar 25 14:37:42 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Something else worth mentioning—it's common sense but it shows up in the data—is that you should be mildly distrustful of pollsters without a track record. As a rule of thumb, it takes about 20 polls before you can have much confidence that what pollster does is working. https://t.co/xdRRsUEZOa — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That doesn't mean that quality doesn't matter. We find that pollsters that participate in professional transparency/data-sharing initiatives continue to get considerably better results. The pollster ratings will continue to reflect this. https://t.co/gsp1olV914 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Finally, here's how the most prolific pollsters fared in the general election. The best-performing pollster was AtlasIntel! Second was Trafalgar! Yeah, they incorrectly had Trump winning a few states, but they were close on the margins, and that's the better metric. https://t.co/yqfbjCequB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021