Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 13, 2021

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Thu Mar 25 14:29:36 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In an environment where politics are highly nationalized and polarized, you don't really have "50 separate contests" for the presidency. For that matter, presidential and downballot outcomes are highly correlated. So if your polls are off in one race, they may be off everywhere. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

don't think we should necessarily expect that polls will continue to have a anti-Republican bias. Historically, the direction of bias is not very predicable as pollsters adjust, adapt, etc. But I do think we may continue to see systematic polling errors in BOTH directions. https://t.co/qRvINCmkLN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The other big finding is that we no longer see a clear rationale to give live-caller polls a higher grade by default in our pollster ratings. For one thing, they haven't particularly outperformed other methodologies. https://t.co/iy502D79RU — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021