Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 12, 2021

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Thu Mar 25 14:14:58 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Based on average error, the 2019-20 cycle featured decidedly mediocre polling: an average error of 6.3 points. That's the 3rd worst out of 12 cycles we've tracked. At the same time, as you can see, it's not an outlier exactly, either. It was well within the range of "normal". https://t.co/qZmcBwTP9g — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The next key link is to my feature article, "The Death of Polling is Greatly Exaggerated", which argues that the death of polling is greatly exaggerated. https://t.co/kfr7ND5OTN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The polls actually did pretty well in "calling" races correctly, as 79% of polls identified the right winner, which is the same as the historical average. Polls got 48 of 50 presidential states right, correctly identified that Democrats would win Congress, etc. https://t.co/C7vHo8Klvj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021