Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 6, 2021

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Thu Mar 18 15:13:58 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I get a little nervous when experts try to be both predictive and proscriptive ("My forecast says X. That means we need to do Y.") People who are skilled forecasters don't necessarily have any special insight into policymaking, and vice versa. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 18, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Neoavatara Yeah, certainly matches my anecdotal experience in NYC, although tamped down a bit by weather that's been unseasonably cold. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 18, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is sort of an interesting example of response bias in polls. A new Quinnipiac poll found that 38% of adults in New York say they've "gotten a COVID-19 vaccine". But we know what the *actual* number is and it's closer to 30% (at least one dose). https://t.co/tdD4VfciV7 https://t.co/jBkaCh3kR9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 18, 2021