Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 2, 2021

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Mon Mar 15 17:36:04 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen Yeah, I think it's partly the stuff that people tend to get excised about, such as restaurants, reflect a relatively small share of contacts and also have ready substitutes (inviting friends over). Encouraging WFH and limiting large indoor gatherings might be higher stakes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 15, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If COVID has an R of 2.5 if people don't change behavior at all, then reducing contracts by 40% gets you to 1.5 which is helpful but still produces fairly rapid exponential growth. So you need other interventions too. Masks help. Better testing and tracing might help a lot too. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 15, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias @conorsen I don't know how you'd enforce limits on home gatherings at all, without some draconian controls that Americans would likely find unacceptable. At least in NYC, there's also not much enforcement of say restaurant capacity limits (there was at some point but not any more tbh). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 15, 2021