Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 24, 2021

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Tue Mar 02 22:15:57 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kwcollins @laurabronner Well, we have a decent sample size! The pollster ratings now account for 6 presidential general cycles, 6 midterm cycles, 9 primary cycles (counting D and R primaries separately) plus myriad special elections and other one-offs. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 2, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kwcollins @laurabronner Over the long run, yes, but one election isn't the long run. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 2, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kwcollins @laurabronner Out of all of those, a presidential general cycle is probably the least informative since it's more correlated from race to race than a midterm or a primary. But even if you ignore that the Nov. 2020 cycle is like 5% of the overall data. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 2, 2021