Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 15, 2021

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Fri Feb 26 19:20:29 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What's tricky is there's a strong case IMO for keeping restrictions in place for another ~3-5 weeks but few experts want to be quite that specific about the time frame. So governors may think "well, we have to end these 'indefinite' lockdowns sometime". https://t.co/5wSmUruLdO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So for better or worse—worse, obviously, in hindsight—they were trying to triage the situation. But they were working with bad early projections that greatly overestimated the hospitalization rate from COVID (while getting the fatality rate about right, interestingly). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias This might be an unpopular view but it feels like states should have consulted more operations researchers, economists, sociologists etc. in designing their rollout plans or other people whose expertise broadly speaking includes thinking about how people respond to incentives. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2021