Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 15, 2021

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Fri Feb 26 17:49:29 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So for better or worse—worse, obviously, in hindsight—they were trying to triage the situation. But they were working with bad early projections that greatly overestimated the hospitalization rate from COVID (while getting the fatality rate about right, interestingly). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Something I don't see brought up much in the discussion of why Cuomo and other govs sent hospitalized patients back to nursing homes or kept nursing home patients out of hospitals is that the projections for hospital usage were absolutely catastrophic. https://t.co/aIzf6qRodU — PolitiTweet.org

Cuomo has shown this slide a couple of times now, and I'm curious about it. While the number of *deaths* has been b… https://t.co/udPUOebqsj

Posted Feb. 26, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What's tricky is there's a strong case IMO for keeping restrictions in place for another ~3-5 weeks but few experts want to be quite that specific about the time frame. So governors may think "well, we have to end these 'indefinite' lockdowns sometime". https://t.co/5wSmUruLdO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2021