Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked March 3, 2021

Created

Mon Feb 15 14:18:26 +0000 2021

Likes

1,114

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'll end with the obligatory: This is not an argument for relaxing restrictions, cases are still quite high, variants are coming, so let's crush this thing further. Still, I'd love to see more debate from epis about why this is happening, e.g. if seasonality has been underrated. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 15, 2021

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, this was not well-predicted by most of the models. As of a month ago most models still expected a plateau or a modest rise in new cases and not the sharp decline we've seen. Looks like we're pretty far outside the 95% confidence interval in fact. https://t.co/0SqfplR8de https://t.co/fzZPxE81cd — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 15, 2021

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen @ScottGottliebMD I think maybe my biggest pet peeve is people discounting the effects of rising community immunity even if the herd immunity threshold per se is far from having been reached. Maybe 30% or 40% + OTHER FAIRLY MAJOR BEHAVIORAL CHANGES counts for a lot. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 15, 2021