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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also if you think there's a 30% chance of something and that's much higher than other people think, and the 30% chance happens, you may wind up just getting blamed for it anyway, just hypothetically speaking, not that I'd have personal experience with something like that. — PolitiTweet.org

If you think there’s a 40% chance of a deadly global pandemic the appropriate response is to freak out. But the m… https://t.co/pAeUeb87so

Posted Feb. 14, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That's not to say Murkowski isn't principled; she clearly is more so than a lot of senators. But there isn't really a clear conflict with her electoral interest. She also won as a write-in/de facto independent in 2010. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 14, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden secured the nomination right when the pandemic hit, so there wasn't the usual round of analysis about how it went down. But that Biden finished 4th in IA/5th in NH but then won the nomination with relative ease after more diverse states started voting speaks volumes. — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Perez on IA and NH: “A diverse state or states need to be first. The difference between going first and going t… https://t.co/jEiosBxuJ3

Posted Feb. 14, 2021