Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 2, 2021

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Sun Feb 14 16:38:54 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That's not to say Murkowski isn't principled; she clearly is more so than a lot of senators. But there isn't really a clear conflict with her electoral interest. She also won as a write-in/de facto independent in 2010. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 14, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's not a Republican primary in Alaska anymore; instead they have an open primary where the top 4 advance to November, and it may well be within Murkowski's narrow self-interest to appeal to the center since she was gonna get challenged from her right anyway. — PolitiTweet.org

Murkowski’s “come and take it” attitude toward potential primary challengers is such a stark contrast to the other… https://t.co/sAWcEGSotw

Posted Feb. 14, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also if you think there's a 30% chance of something and that's much higher than other people think, and the 30% chance happens, you may wind up just getting blamed for it anyway, just hypothetically speaking, not that I'd have personal experience with something like that. — PolitiTweet.org

If you think there’s a 40% chance of a deadly global pandemic the appropriate response is to freak out. But the m… https://t.co/pAeUeb87so

Posted Feb. 14, 2021