Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked March 1, 2021

Created

Wed Feb 10 22:27:05 +0000 2021

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@phl43 @davidshor If you're looking at cases instead, then you run into issues like incomplete reporting, lags, etc, especially early in the pandemic. And more recently, other confounders like new variants emerging, meaningful levels of community immunity, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2021

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@phl43 @davidshor For sure. I guess what I'd say is it seems better to look directly at behavioral data to tease out the question of lockdown vs. voluntary effects. Like if you compare California (strict lockdown) to Utah (none) you see the same general pattern but some difference in magnitude. https://t.co/ssIyww73Xp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2021

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@phl43 @davidshor To bring this full circle, I agree that this is exactly the sort of thing that you shouldn't be using the "eyeball test" for and people are at risk of cherry-picking if they do. I also don't think it's completely intractable, though; you can probably draw some rough bounds. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2021