Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 1, 2021

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Wed Feb 10 19:46:03 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred Some of the discussion also seems to turn on the weirdly abstract question of what the threshold would be if people stopped taking any precautions whatsoever, when in practice both government-mandated restrictions and personal behavior will relax incrementally over time. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias It's not just that people who aren't vaccinated are more likely to get COVID going forward, but also that, for various reasons including structural inequality, people who have had COVID are less likely to get vaccinated. So, yeah, this would seem like a factor in the math. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@davidshor @phl43 I think there's probably more exogeneity in the first (spring) wave of lockdowns. Israel has had 3 lockdowns. You can CLEARLY see the first, also clearly the the second (though the effect is smaller) but the third in December? Harder to make out. https://t.co/m1gOxoNtX2 https://t.co/SGhWszd0hd — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2021