Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 17, 2021

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Thu Jan 28 15:19:22 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Neoavatara In the medium-to-long run yes, but when I've looked at other people's models or tried to sketch the numbers out myself, it's possible you wind up with a stalemate between vaccines ↓ transmission on the one hand, and new variants + relaxed restrictions ↑ it on the other hand. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 28, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In general, I'm pretty skeptical of the "have more restrictions in place now so you can have fewer later on" argument, but I think that might actually be true here given new variants, etc. Just really crushing the curve now could make for smoother sailing in spring, summer. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 28, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Neoavatara There are a few Midwestern states where cases have been falling a lot so I understand why they're tempted. But even there, the conversation is like a month ahead of where it should be IMO (and longer in other parts of the country). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 28, 2021