Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 8, 2021

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Sun Jan 17 14:06:25 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BallouxFrancois Is their data suggesting that the fitness advantage of the new variant is declining over time? e.g. in London it went from 1.11x/day in the preceding epoch to 1.03x/day in the most recent epoch. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 17, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's not all good news by any means. Absent the new variant, we might have been able to drive caseloads to be very low by April/May, their model suggests. Now that's going to take longer. Still, a quick vaccine pace may allow us to avoid (further) overloading hospitals, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 17, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm pro lockdown for the time being given the circumstances of the moment (vaccines here, new variants etc.) but I also worry that when we look back in 5 years we'll discover all sorts of adverse consequences from people being physically/socially isolated from one another. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 17, 2021