Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 8, 2021

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Sun Jan 17 13:40:31 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's not all good news by any means. Absent the new variant, we might have been able to drive caseloads to be very low by April/May, their model suggests. Now that's going to take longer. Still, a quick vaccine pace may allow us to avoid (further) overloading hospitals, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 17, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This CDC report on the new COVID variant suggests that cases will continue to fall despite the emergence of the new variant IF we can vaccinate people quickly enough. (They assume 1M doses/day; the US has averaged about 850k/day in the past week.) https://t.co/TfrZenO35O https://t.co/TBq1H2Sbob — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 17, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BallouxFrancois Is their data suggesting that the fitness advantage of the new variant is declining over time? e.g. in London it went from 1.11x/day in the preceding epoch to 1.03x/day in the most recent epoch. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 17, 2021