Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Feb. 7, 2021

Created

Fri Jan 15 16:05:37 +0000 2021

Likes

7,159

Retweets

581

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't know, I guess the smart money is on the GOP gaining ground at the midterms, as the opposition party usually does. But one of the exceptions to that was 9/11, when the president's party gained ground in the midterms, and 1/6 resembles 9/11 in certain ways. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 15, 2021

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, there's also a pinch of pre-1/6 data that still has an influence on the average. Not a big difference at this point but if you only used polls that are fully 1/6 you'd wind up with something more like 37/59 instead of 38/58. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 15, 2021

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Plus, Georgia was a midterm-like environment in certain respects, and Democrats did better in the runoffs than they had in November. And that was *before* 1/6. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 15, 2021