Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 7, 2021

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Fri Jan 15 15:35:16 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, there's also a pinch of pre-1/6 data that still has an influence on the average. Not a big difference at this point but if you only used polls that are fully 1/6 you'd wind up with something more like 37/59 instead of 38/58. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 15, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Obviously one can ask "why isn't it even lower?" but this is the sharpest downshift of his presidency and the highest disapproval rating of his presidency. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 15, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't know, I guess the smart money is on the GOP gaining ground at the midterms, as the opposition party usually does. But one of the exceptions to that was 9/11, when the president's party gained ground in the midterms, and 1/6 resembles 9/11 in certain ways. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 15, 2021