Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 22, 2021

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Sun Jan 03 19:08:36 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@nataliemj10 That's fair. I guess my prior was that things would move toward the GOP because it would function like a midterm. So maybe that prior was wrong, obviously. But if we go from Perdue beating Ossoff by 2 in November to say losing by 2 in January, that seems interesting-ish. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 3, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The conventional wisdom on here seems to be that the crazy shit Republicans are doing has little/no electoral recourse. While obviously polls can be wrong, if Democrats do win both runoffs folks may need to re-examine that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 3, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I really don't want to be too dogmatic about stuff like how long the gap should be between doses because I know there's a lot of disagreement among the smart experts I follow, but I do think the thread Phil cites is good about how it's not as simple as saying "there's no data". — PolitiTweet.org

Provocative thread: Are British drug regulators better forecasters than US regulators because Brits are Bayesians w… https://t.co/XW5nsKJV3a

Posted Jan. 3, 2021