Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 22, 2021

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Sun Jan 03 18:56:14 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The conventional wisdom on here seems to be that the crazy shit Republicans are doing has little/no electoral recourse. While obviously polls can be wrong, if Democrats do win both runoffs folks may need to re-examine that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 3, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Lotta pollsters that had pretty big GOP house effects in November (often correctly, it turned out) showing good numbers for the Democrats in Georgia. — PolitiTweet.org

AtlasIntel Poll: Georgia Senate Runoffs Ossoff 51.3 (+4.3) Perdue 47.0 Warnock 51.1 Loeffler 46.9 (+4.2) Sample… https://t.co/dwIhZhIRXT

Posted Jan. 3, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@nataliemj10 That's fair. I guess my prior was that things would move toward the GOP because it would function like a midterm. So maybe that prior was wrong, obviously. But if we go from Perdue beating Ossoff by 2 in November to say losing by 2 in January, that seems interesting-ish. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 3, 2021