Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 18, 2021

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Thu Dec 31 22:36:00 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @trvrb: @NateSilver538 I'd think of this a bit like polling data where you inject extra uncertainty beyond what is strictly necessary to… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2020 Retweet

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @trvrb: @NateSilver538 Hi Nate! Context is that I agree with median modeled estimates of increased transmissibility of ~50% (https://t.c… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2020 Retweet

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@trvrb Thank you, that's all super helpful. I was wondering how much to weigh the prior against what looks (to my untrained eye) to be reasonably compelling evidence of higher transmissability. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2020