Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 17, 2021

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Thu Dec 31 22:35:57 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @trvrb: @NateSilver538 Hi Nate! Context is that I agree with median modeled estimates of increased transmissibility of ~50% (https://t.c… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2020 Retweet

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another question for the epis on here is: how context-sensitive are these transmissability numbers? Is a variant that was say 50% more transmissible in the context of the UK in fall/winter 2020 also likely to be ~50% more transmissable in e.g. the US in winter/spring 2021? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @trvrb: @NateSilver538 I'd think of this a bit like polling data where you inject extra uncertainty beyond what is strictly necessary to… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2020 Retweet