Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 6, 2021

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Thu Dec 17 20:48:48 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Conversely, if there's a lot of turnover in the lineup because of injuries, trades, etc., looking at past team performance may not tell you very much. Instead, the projections will gravitate very heavily (in some cases 95%+) toward RAPTOR. 16/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

How do we weigh the RAPTOR component vs. the Elo component? It depends on how much continuity there has been in a team's lineup. If a team has high continuity, then team performance really does tend to be more robust so Elo may get 50% or more of the weight. 15/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Anyway! We're pretty happy with these changes, though we may take a longer, fuller look at RAPTOR this off-season when the system has 2 years under its belt and we have a full off-season to work with. In the meantime, we hope you'll enjoy our NBA coverage. Thanks, all. 17/17 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2020