Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 6, 2021

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Thu Dec 17 20:48:47 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another change is that a team's rating will now reflect a combination of its RAPTOR rating and its Elo rating. Elo, if you'll remember, is a purely TEAM-BASED measure, and it tends to put more emphasis on recent games. 14/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So one change we've made is to now use RAPTOR for in-season adjustments. While our preseason projections did quite well last year, the in-season updating was pretty clunky, if I can be frank, leading to some... weirdness by the playoffs, and this should help with that. 13/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

How do we weigh the RAPTOR component vs. the Elo component? It depends on how much continuity there has been in a team's lineup. If a team has high continuity, then team performance really does tend to be more robust so Elo may get 50% or more of the weight. 15/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2020