Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 3, 2021

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Sat Dec 12 16:44:35 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JHWeissmann I think it's pretty darn important to distinguish between lower probability events and higher probability events. I think doing so helps society makes better decisions and think through important problems more clearly. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JHWeissmann There were also very few late-arriving ballots in the primary in PA (around ~1% of all mail ballots or something like 0.3% of all ballots period) when there were no such concerns. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JHWeissmann I also think it's important to evaluate one's priors in light of new information. If you're someone who was very worried about the Supreme Court, and you haven't revised your priors *at all*, I don't particularly want you in the bunker if democracy is under threat. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 12, 2020