Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Dec. 29, 2020

Created

Wed Dec 09 01:46:34 +0000 2020

Likes

371

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

b) Here's a litmus test. Suppose on Nov. 2 I'd described the outcome of the election—Biden would win 4 key states by <=1 point, all of which have GOP legislatures and two of which have GOP governors, one of whom is Brian Kemp. Would liberals have been freaking out? (Yes.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2020

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

a) Maybe! But this election was *pretty* close and the courts were *very* unsympathetic to Trump. What if it was Florida-in-2000 close? So close it wasn't clear who really won? Maybe that's different. But Florida was INCREDIBLY close, a once-in-several-lifetimes occurrence. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2020

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

c) There's a fine line between engaging in counterfactuals and "this would have happened if circumstances were different" becoming an unfalsifiable theory. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2020