Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 29, 2020

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Wed Dec 09 01:46:34 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

a) Maybe! But this election was *pretty* close and the courts were *very* unsympathetic to Trump. What if it was Florida-in-2000 close? So close it wasn't clear who really won? Maybe that's different. But Florida was INCREDIBLY close, a once-in-several-lifetimes occurrence. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's a lot of "if it were closer or X and Y were different, SCOTUS would have stolen the election for Trump" in response to this, to which I have a few different responses: — PolitiTweet.org

"SCOTUS will steal the election for Trump" is one of those takes that was popular (for different reasons) both amon… https://t.co/t6j2Kunc17

Posted Dec. 9, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

b) Here's a litmus test. Suppose on Nov. 2 I'd described the outcome of the election—Biden would win 4 key states by <=1 point, all of which have GOP legislatures and two of which have GOP governors, one of whom is Brian Kemp. Would liberals have been freaking out? (Yes.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2020