Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 27, 2020

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Mon Dec 07 15:10:07 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

These are just polling averages, FYI. We are not issuing probabilistic forecasts of the Georgia runoffs, not for any philosophical reason—they'll be back in 2022/24—but because our full-fledged Congressional model isn't really designed to handle one-off races like these. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Ossoff 48.7 Purdue 47.9 Warnock 49.2 Loeffler 47.0 https://t.co/jNFvD5ZNhd — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To be honest that's probably for the best, because there are a lot of judgment calls in terms of what the "fundamentals" look like in this election. Is this equivalent to a midterm, in which you might expect a pretty red environment vs. Biden? Maybe not given how Trump is acting. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2020