Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 17, 2020

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Wed Nov 25 14:22:27 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Of course, you could interpret 2018 differently. Maybe it was mostly a backlash to attempts to repeal Obamacare. GOP turnout was quite high for a midterm, though so was Democratic turnout. They did save the Senate (and indeed gained seats). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 25, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias I think the problem is that we don't have a lot of examples of either way of how effective the first strategy is, electorally. The 2018 midterms featured a fair amount of "cultural" issues (i.e. the caravan) but Trump wasn't on the ballot and it didn't go well for the GOP. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 25, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias So the point is not necessarily that there aren't better strategies than Trumpism, but that it's hard for a Republican to point toward any recent counterexamples and convince people that it will work, in a way that Democrats largely can do for Obamaism. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 25, 2020