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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 8, 2020

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Thu Nov 19 00:41:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Really glad this is relaunching. And I like the emphasis on "nowcasting" rather than forecasting. It's been very hard to get reliable estimates of how many people truly have COVID at any given time (since not all cases are detected) and this is a big step forward. — PolitiTweet.org

Youyang Gu @youyanggu

I'm relaunching https://t.co/WcXlfxv3Ah. It's a completely new model that I put together over the past day that es… https://t.co/wpEe4KZVhD

Posted Nov. 19, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes @LPDonovan Tossup based on how many ballots are left outstanding in NY, which nobody seems entirely sure of — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 19, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, I hate to touch off the "where is the herd immunity threshold?" debate but one datapoint worth mentioning here is that he estimates ND and SD have 35-40% of their populations infected and cases are still rising, though more slowly than before. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 19, 2020