Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 8, 2020

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Thu Nov 19 00:12:37 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes @LPDonovan Tossup based on how many ballots are left outstanding in NY, which nobody seems entirely sure of — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 19, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I have receipts on what you did share and they did not match the 538 averages. — PolitiTweet.org

Not true. We didn't (at least in any sanctioned way!) offer our internals. We presented early vote data and our o… https://t.co/uMxgUSeoWQ

Posted Nov. 18, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Really glad this is relaunching. And I like the emphasis on "nowcasting" rather than forecasting. It's been very hard to get reliable estimates of how many people truly have COVID at any given time (since not all cases are detected) and this is a big step forward. — PolitiTweet.org

I'm relaunching https://t.co/WcXlfxv3Ah. It's a completely new model that I put together over the past day that es… https://t.co/wpEe4KZVhD

Posted Nov. 19, 2020