Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 8, 2020

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Wed Nov 18 19:18:58 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Neoavatara Everyone would take the presidency + the House + maybe the Senate over state legislatures. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

"Nobody owns those seats" is *especially* true in an era like now where there's a weak incumbency bonus, and it can make comparing results after a midterm and a presidential year pretty apples-to-oranges. Of note: Democrats gained a lot of seats relative to 2016 in the House. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kmedved I'm not super sure why expectations matter here but I also think that some of those forecasts misdiagnosed the macro conditions. Defending seats won in a D+9 environment (2018) presented a lot of downside risk for D's in an era of weak incumbency. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020