Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 7, 2020

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Wed Nov 18 19:14:55 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

"Nobody owns those seats" is *especially* true in an era like now where there's a weak incumbency bonus, and it can make comparing results after a midterm and a presidential year pretty apples-to-oranges. Of note: Democrats gained a lot of seats relative to 2016 in the House. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't think "but they lost seats in the House!" is a great take because nobody owns those seats—everybody's term expired—and winning seats as the out-party at a midterm is a whole different (and much easier) ballgame than winning them in a presidential year. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Neoavatara Everyone would take the presidency + the House + maybe the Senate over state legislatures. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020