Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 27, 2020

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Sat Nov 14 16:57:12 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It is NOT some rational evaluation oo a "coup" working. Betting markets still give Trump a 9% chance of winning *Nevada*, where Biden's ahead by *a lot* and the government is run by Dems, so any "coup" would fail. Some people are idiots and some idiots bet on prediction markets. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If Trump had to pull this off in *one* state, well 9% would still be far too high, but maybe you'd bet on him at 100:1 or something. But he has to overturn the results in *3* states. It is not happening. It is over. If you think Trump will win, you deserve to lose your money. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Since the founding of the Republican Party, there are four streaks where the same party won the popular vote 4+ times in a row: GOP 1860-1872 (Lincoln, Grant) GOP 1896-1908 (McKinley, T. Roosevelt, Taft) Dems 1932-1948 (FDR, Truman) Dems 2008-2020 (Obama, H. Clinton, Biden) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2020