Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 27, 2020

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Sat Nov 14 16:48:04 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If Trump had to pull this off in *one* state, well 9% would still be far too high, but maybe you'd bet on him at 100:1 or something. But he has to overturn the results in *3* states. It is not happening. It is over. If you think Trump will win, you deserve to lose your money. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Prediction markets *still* give Trump a 9% chance of winning, which is fricking insane. The election is over. He lost. The courts aren't ruling in his favor. Recounts won't overturn Biden's margins. GOP state legislatures aren't entertaining an end-around. https://t.co/qpmkmQfImF https://t.co/66eaBZxPjf — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It is NOT some rational evaluation oo a "coup" working. Betting markets still give Trump a 9% chance of winning *Nevada*, where Biden's ahead by *a lot* and the government is run by Dems, so any "coup" would fail. Some people are idiots and some idiots bet on prediction markets. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2020