Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 25, 2020

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Fri Nov 13 16:21:59 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But at some point talking about uncertainty without invoking probabilities is like trying to formulate sentences without using the word "the". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 13, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If it's important to convey the uncertainty in polling—and it is—I struggle to see how showing probabilities *isn't* an important part of the toolkit. With smart methods for both calculating those probabilities and placing them in context, of course. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 13, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Talked about this on this episode, but if polls had an easier time reaching people who were staying home because of COVID (one reason they may have had a Democratic skew) then one can imagine they were quite skewed with respect to tolerance for COVID restrictions. — PolitiTweet.org

This... is... Model Talk! https://t.co/9VdDuIjqXJ

Posted Nov. 13, 2020