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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 22, 2020

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Wed Nov 11 16:53:32 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our model was about ~5 seats more bearish on Democrats than the consensus in the House and I can't say I spent a ton of time examining our House forecast this year but I'm pretty sure that's why; there was high risk of some mean-reversion for Democrats. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One thing to keep in mind about Democrats' performance in the House is that the 2018 environment was *great* (D +9 nationally) for them and it was going to be hard to top that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @baseballot: .@geoffreyvs crunched the numbers, and Republicans have gained vote share in 7 out of 8 past GA runoffs, probably thanks to… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Retweet