Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 20, 2020

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Tue Nov 10 16:23:49 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You can refresh various COVID tracking dashboards 20 times a day. Warning: Not a lot of comforting news there. — PolitiTweet.org

Really need something to fill the interstices of my thoughts now that I don't have polling averages to check every… https://t.co/Tj8nzjQLh0

Posted Nov. 10, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Polls could be 2x or 3x worse and they'd still be better than hot takes. Hot takes/conventional wisdom are very bad and often literally have negative predictive accuracy (i.e. polls often miss in the opposite direction from what they expect). https://t.co/EFqBQPTpEz https://t.co/fpiAddgqKB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@aedwardslevy @jdelreal Yeah there are some exceptions but we at 538 or the folks at the Upshot or Ariel/HuffPo and most of the other prominent folks in the industry who really know their stuff cover polls with a lot of nuance and spend a ton of time talking about uncertainty. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2020