Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 31, 2021

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Mon Nov 02 17:01:08 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Much to Fivey's chagrin—or perhaps delight—Biden keeps oscillating between like 89.9% ("favored") and 90.1% ("clearly favored") in our forecast with every random poll we add. (And boy have there been some random polls today.) https://t.co/ajG88SznSA https://t.co/FdOT1ODMe7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In other words, if you knew that Biden was +1 in GA, +2 in NC, +3 in AZ, only -1 in TX and +8 or +9 nationally, you'd probably guess that he had a slightly larger lead in Florida polls than he does. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@NickRiccardi Yep, exactly. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated