Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 31, 2021

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Mon Nov 02 16:53:04 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Some debates on here about FL (the conventional wisdom is bearish on Biden relative to polls). One thing to keep in mind is Biden's actually underperforming there relative to other states. He's up 2 there when our model thinks he "should" be up 4 based on his numbers elsewhere. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ForecasterEnten We shall know soon. Or maybe not so soon in PA. But at some point. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In other words, if you knew that Biden was +1 in GA, +2 in NC, +3 in AZ, only -1 in TX and +8 or +9 nationally, you'd probably guess that he had a slightly larger lead in Florida polls than he does. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated