Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 31, 2021

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Mon Nov 02 13:14:19 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bottom line: our final forecast is likely to be very close to what you see now (i.e. 90/10 or thereabouts). Could it be 92/8 or 88/12? Sure. But there's so much polling in most of these states now that new polls aren't shifting things much. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden got a tiny further boost this morning (from 89% to 90%*) from this plus some decent polling for him. But now there are no longer any further gains to be had for Biden from the mere passage of time. * Yes, just over the "clearly favored" line in our verbiage — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Nor is there anything magical that will happen when we run the final model just after midnight. And hey, pollsters: Please do get those polls to us by midnight! We expecting that to be our final run of the season. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated