Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 31, 2021

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Sun Nov 01 20:37:19 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

These are the states sorted by the total amount of recent polling. A very recent poll of ~600 people and slightly-above-average quality gets an influence weight of 1. So in Florida, for example, we have the equivalent of 24 recent polls. https://t.co/IpsTCrCdo4 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Tired of people framing "Trump will declare victory prematurely" as a media story. Most likely—in part because the White House has telegraphed it so much in advance—the media will be fairly well-prepared. Instead, it's a story about Trump seeking to undermine faith in democracy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is why it'll be hard for further polling to move our numbers all that much in the Big 6 states (PA/WI/MI/FL/NC/AZ). One new fairly decent poll of PA will still get only 5% of the total weight there, or thereabouts. A very good poll with a large-ish sample might get 10%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated