Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 31, 2021

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Fri Oct 30 23:43:54 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias @jbarro @MattZeitlin The thing to remember is that when the polls and the conventional wisdom depart, the polls often err in the opposite direction from what the conventional wisdom expects. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A COVID record four days before the election is not an October surprise in the sense that things have been trending badly and it was quite predictable. But the more that COVID has been at the forefront of people's concerns, the worse Trump has tended to do. — PolitiTweet.org

Our daily update is published. States reported a new record number of cases—97k—and 1.4 million tests. Currently, 4… https://t.co/zEOOPHW26C

Posted Oct. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This campaign is in a much different category as Trump is still only 5 or 6 points behind in PA, but I kind of wonder how a 1984-style polling lead (Reagan ahead by 18 to 20 points) in the closing days of the campaign would play out in today's media environment. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Hibernated